Not Geography Geography Lesson 14
Now This is Proper Geog!
Apologies for this week's blog being late once again, but my idea pool has been gradually drying up and I have just been enjoying languishing in my endless free time now that my exams are over. But, some rather over-exaggerated new stories drew my attention to this week's topic - super volcanoes, particularly Campi Flegrei in Italy, and volcano monitoring and prediction.
Now That Is Some Proper Geography
Volcanoes are probably one of the first things that people think of when they think of geography, and are honestly one of the most interesting topics in the subject; I actually wanted to be a volcanologist when I was growing up and came to University, only to realise how much maths is involved and I scuttled out of there like a rat up a drain pipe.
Volcanoes are basically just channels or conduits where highly pressurized molten rock has found a weakness in the earth's layers and when the pressure has built enough, they blow all of that stuff up and out.
Volcanoes are classified in a few of different ways:
*Quick side note : 'magma' is the molten rock, gas and liquid inside the volcano before eruption, it becomes 'lava' once it has escaped and is on the surface!
- Lava/Magma Type - depending on the type of plate boundary the volcano is formed on, there are four main types of lava/magma which range from super runny or Basaltic type, to super thick and viscous or Rhyolitic type.
- Volcano Shape - the kind of magma involved in the formation of the volcano determines whether the it will be either a classic steep-sided cone shape, or an almost flat shield shape, or somewhere in the middle ground.
- Eruption Style or Length - depending again on the magma type, some volcanoes erupt very violently and even blow themselves apart (known as Plinian Eruptions), or some just flow very gently and nicely along the ground (such as Hawaiian Eruptions).
What Makes This Volcano So Super Then?
Most people probably think of Yellowstone National Park when they hear 'super volcano' and they're not wrong. As a super volcano Yellowstone is an enormous series of connected magma chambers around 7km underneath the surface, which form what is called a Caldera - a large pool of magma under the surface formed where previous eruptions have blown all the rock out and then the magma has filled it.
These kinds of volcanoes are 'super' purely because of their size, and hence their capacity for absolute destruction when they blow. We have yet to witness in modern history the impacts of a super volcano eruption, but it is estimated that when Yellowstone does erupt 1 in 7 of the global population will die as the gas and ash released will be so enormous that it will block the sun and we will all starve. Happy thoughts.
But move over Yellowstone, because there is a new super volcano in town - Campi Flegrie, which sits under Naples in Italy. When I say 'new', it hasn't just formed recently or anything, but has only just made the news (and I say 'news' loosely because that includes the Daily Star and the Sun) because some things are starting to kick-off a bit over there. In fact scientists working there have said they fear the volcano is getting close to reaching "Critical Degassing Pressure", which is the point at which the pressure is so high, that all the liquids mixed in the magma start to return to gaseous state and form bubbles known as vesicules, which will force all the magma and everything out into an eruption. Just like when you drop your Fanta and open it too soon.
So Is The Home Of Pizza And Pigeons About To Be Blown Off The Face Of The Earth?
Naples is one of most densely populated places on the planet, and approximately 500'000 people are living atop this fiery time bomb. Hence it could all go very badly wrong if this thing does decide to blow anytime soon; and rather helpfully scientists said in their assessment "There will be another super volcano eruption..." without actually saying when, which would be useful.
Whilst the Sun makes it sound like any old Herbert could pop across to Italy, see the ground inflating and declare an imminent eruption, alas volcano monitoring is not that simple. The methods are predominantly looking at seismic signals which allude to rock cracking and magma rising beneath the surface, checking for miniscule changes in the height and width of the ground, and monitoring increases in gases and heat being given off. There are several 'lab volcanoes' around the world that are constantly monitored for these changes, and they have roughly taught volcanologists the signs of eruptions nearing.
Unfortunately, it is by no means a predictable process with lots of false alarms and lots of random eruptions with no signs beforehand - volcanoes are sneaky and sometimes they will creep up out of nowhere, and sometimes they get bored halfway and go back to sleep. Just last year everyone started panicking because Yellowstone was unusually active (hint: it is always active), and all the animals started moving out, which is normally a very bad sign. All those Doomsday Prepper lunatics were rubbing their hands until it just stopped suddenly, and then they had to go back to stacking their 5000 toilet rolls in their basement.
So Naples Is Safe For Now?
*Shrug* Most likely yes, but unless you're the real-life That's So Raven, no one can predict the future.We know that pressure builds over time, and more pressure means increased likelihood of eruption, but that relationship is not linear and so you cannot predict anything from it, other than the longer between the eruption the more likely they become generally. Campi Flegrei erupted on a small scale in the 1500's so is unlikely to go again any time soon. His American cousin erupted 640'000 years ago, but the pattern seems to indicate an eruption every 1 million-ish years, so we have a good 350'000 years to wait potentially.
Whilst I would be more than happy for thousands of Italian pigeons to be instantly incinerated, it seems highly unlikely at the mo'; despite what the Sun says. Hopefully you enjoyed this week's proper geog topic, because stuff blowing up is always exciting. See you next week!
P.S - Please also appreciate how straight-forward and epic sign language is, as evidence in the Gif below:


